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Economy of South Africa

South Africa has a two-tiered economy; one rivaling other developed countries and the other with only the most basic infrastructure. It therefore is a productive and industrialized economy that exhibits many characteristics associated with developing countries, including a division of labor between formal and informal sectors--and uneven distribution of wealth and income. The formal sector , based on mining, manufacturing, services, and agriculture, is well developed.

The transition to a democratic, nonracist government, began in early 1990, stimulated a debate on the direction of economic policies to achieve sustained economic growth while at the same time redressing the socioeconomic disparities created by apartheid. After the 1994 elections that marked the end of apartheid, the new ANC-led Government of National Unity's initial blueprint to address this problem was the Reconstruction and Development Program (RDP). The RDP was designed to create programs to improve the standard of living for the majority of the population by providing housing--a planned 1 million new homes in 5 years--basic services, education, and health care. While a specific "ministry" for the RDP no longer exists, a number of government ministries and offices are charged with supporting RDP programs and goals.

The Government of South Africa demonstrated its commitment to open markets, privatization and a favorable investment climate with its release of the crucial Growth, Employment and Redistribution (GEAR) strategy--the neoliberal economic strategy to cover 1996-2000. The strategy had mixed success. It brought greater financial discipline and macroeconomic stability but has failed to deliver in key areas. Formal employment continued to decline, and despite the ongoing efforts of black empowerment and signs of a fledgling black middle class and social mobility, the country's wealth remains very unequally distributed along racial lines. South Africa's budgetary reforms such as the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and the Public Finance Management Act--which aims at better reporting, auditing, and increased accountability--and the structural changes to its monetary policy framework--including inflation targeting--have, however, created transparency and predictability and are widely acclaimed. Trade liberalization also has progressed substantially since the early 1990s. Average import tariffs in South Africa have declined to 14.3% in 1999 from more than 30% in 1990. These efforts, together with South Africa's implementation of its World Trade Organization (WTO) obligations and its constructive role in launching the Doha Development Round, show South Africa's acceptance of free market principles.

Contents

Financial policy

South Africa has a sophisticated financial structure with the JSE Securities Exchange, a large and active stock exchange that ranks 18th in the world in terms of total market capitalization. The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) performs all central banking functions. The SARB is independent and operates in much the same way as Western central banks, influencing interest rates and controlling liquidity through its interest rates on funds provided to private sector banks. Quantitative credit controls and administrative control of deposit and lending rates have largely disappeared. South African banks adhere to the Bank of International Standards core standards.

The South African Government has taken steps to gradually reduce remaining foreign exchange controls, which apply only to South African residents. Private citizens are now allowed a one-time investment of up to 750,000 rand in offshore accounts. Since 2001, South African companies may invest up to R750 million in Africa and R500 million elsewhere.

Trade and investment

South Africa has rich mineral resources. It is the world's largest producer and exporter of gold and platinum and also exports a significant amount of coal. During 2000, platinum overtook gold as South Africa's largest foreign exchange earner. The value-added processing of minerals to produce ferroalloys, stainless steels, and similar products is a major industry and an important growth area. The country's diverse manufacturing industry is a world leader in several specialized sectors, including railway rolling stock, synthetic fuels, and mining equipment and machinery.

Primary agriculture accounts for only 4% of the gross domestic product. Major crops include citrus and deciduous fruits, corn, wheat, dairy products, sugarcane, tobacco, wine and wool. South Africa has many developed irrigation schemes and is a net exporter of food.

South Africa's transportation infrastructure is "well-developed", supporting both domestic and regional needs. The Johannesburg International Airport serves as a hub for flights to other Southern African countries. The domestic telecommunications infrastructure provides modern and efficient service to urban areas, including cellular and internet services. In 1997, Telkom, the South African telecommunications parastatal , was partly privatized and entered into a strategic equity partnership with a consortium of two companies, including SBC, a U.S. telecommunications company. In exchange for exclusivity (a monopoly) to provide certain services for 5 years, Telkom assumed an obligation to facilitate network modernization and expansion into unserved areas. A Second Network Operator was to be licensed to compete with Telkom across its spectrum of services in 2002, although this had not yet happened by February 2004 . Three cellular companies provide service to over 9 million subscribers.

South Africa's GDP is expected to increase gradually during the next few years. Annual GDP growth between 1994 and 1997 fluctuated between 1.5% and 3.4%. In 1998, growth fell to 0.8%, due largely to the effects of the global financial crisis, but rebounded to 2.1% in 1999. In 2000, GDP grew at a rate of 3.4%, but slowed to 2.2% in 2001. The government estimates that the economy must achieve growth at a minimum of 6% to offset unemployment, which is estimated at 29%, although unofficial sources put it as high as 41%. In an effort to boost economic growth and spur job creation, the government has launched special investment corridors to promote development in specific regions and also is working to encourage small, medium, and microenterprise development. One of the great successes of the ANC government has been to get consumer inflation, which had been running in the double digits for over 20 years, under control. By 1998, inflation had fallen to 6.9%, and in 1999 and 2000 inflation was running at less than 6.0%. The rand's rapid depreciation in late 2001, however, has led to greater inflationary pressure. The government also has made inroads into reducing the fiscal deficit and increasing foreign currency reserves. The government deficit was 1.3% of GDP in 2001. The Government's 2002 budget called for a moderate increase in spending to promote faster growth and poverty alleviation.

Exports reached 29.1% of GDP in 2001, up from 11.5% a decade ago. South Africa's major trading partners include the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Italy, Belgium, and Japan. South Africa's trade with other Sub-Saharan African countries, particularly those in the Southern Africa region, has increased substantially. South Africa is a member of the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) and the Southern African Development Community (SADC). In August 1996, South Africa signed a regional trade protocol agreement with its SADC partners. The agreement was ratified in December 1999 and implementation began in September 2000. It intends to provide duty-free treatment for 85% of trade by 2008 and 100% by 2012.

South Africa has made great progress in dismantling its old economic system, which was based on import substitution, high tariffs and subsidies, anticompetitive behavior, and extensive government intervention in the economy. The new leadership has moved to reduce the government's role in the economy and to promote private sector investment and competition. It has significantly reduced tariffs and export subsidies, loosened exchange controls, cut the secondary tax on corporate dividends, and improved enforcement of intellectual property laws. A new competition law was passed and became effective on September 1, 1999. A U.S.-South Africa bilateral tax treaty went into effect on January 1, 1998, and a bilateral trade and investment framework agreement was signed in February 1999.

South Africa is a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO). U.S. products qualify for South Africa's most-favored-nation tariff rates. South Africa also is an eligible country for the benefits under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), and most of its products can enter the United States market duty free. South Africa has done away with most import permits except on used products and products regulated by international treaties. It also remains committed to the simplification and continued reduction of tariffs within the WTO framework and maintains active discussions with that body and its major trading partners.

As a result of a November 1993 bilateral agreement, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) can assist U.S. investors in the South African market with services such as political risk insurance and loans and loan guarantees. In July 1996, the United States and South Africa signed an investment fund protocol for a $120 million OPIC fund to make equity investments in South and Southern Africa. OPIC is establishing an additional fund--the Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Fund, capitalized at $350 million--to investment in infrastructure projects. The Trade and Development Agency also has been actively involved in funding feasibility studies and identifying investment opportunities in South Africa for U.S. businesses.

Effect of HIV/AIDS

South Africa is one of the countries most affected by HIV with 5-6 million HIV infected individuals. Nearly 20% of the 15-49 year old population is infected and in parts of the country up to 40% of women of child-bearing age are infected. Overall, 12-13% of the population is infected and by 2005, this rate could reach 15%. About 2,300 new infections occur each day or over 850,000 annually. Approximately 40% of adult deaths and 25% of all deaths in 2000 were due to AIDS. Without effective prevention and treatment 5-7 million cumulative AIDS deaths are anticipated by 2010 (with 1.5 million deaths in 2010 alone), and there are projected to be over 1 million sick with AIDS. Recent studies predict the epidemic could cost South Africa as much as 17% in GDP growth by 2010. The extraction industries, education and health are among the sectors that will be severely affected. Over the last decade, national government leadership has not effectively addressed the epidemic although a good HIV prevention strategy was initiated. In April 2002, a revitalization of the HIV/AIDS program was announced by the Cabinet with substantial funding increases anticipated in 2003-04.

Environment

South Africa's Government is deeply concerned about managing the country's rich and varied natural resources in a responsible and sustainable manner. In addition, numerous South African non-governmental organizations have emerged as a potent force in the public policy debate on the environment. In international environmental organizations, South Africa is seen as a key leader among developing countries on issues such as climate change, conservation, and biodiversity. This leading role is underscored by South Africa's selection to be the host of the World Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002.

Social services

Since 1994, the government has channelled substantial resources into social programmes and services, with varying degrees of success.

  • Households with access to clean water: 85% in 2001, 80% in 1996
  • Households using electricity for lighting: 69.7% in 2001, 57.6% in 1996
  • Households in formal housing: 63.8% in 2001, 57.5% in 1996
  • Households with chemical or flush toilets: 51.9% in 2001, 50.5% in 1996
  • Pupil-teacher ratio: 38:1 in 2003, 43:1 in 1994
  • People who have completed grade 12 schooling: 20.4% in 2001, 16.3% in 1996
  • People with access to electricity: 70% in 2003, 32% in 1994
  • Social grants: 6.8 million people (R34.8 billion) in 2003, 2.6 million people (R10 billion) in 1994

Statistics

HDI Rank: 119th (2004), 111th (2003), 101st (1999), 95th (1995)

Industrial production growth rate: 5% (2004 est.), 7% (2001 est.)

Electricity - production: 221,900 GWh (2004), 213,400 GWh (2003), 206,000 GWh (2002), 196,000 GWh (2001), 195,600 GWh (2000)

Electricity - production by source: fossil fuel: 93.5% hydroelectric: 1.1% nuclear: 5.5% other: 0% (2001)

Electricity - consumption: 204,260 GWh (2004)

Electricity - exports: 12,450 GWh (2004), 10,140 GWh (2003), 6,950 GWh (2002), 6,520 GWh (2001), 4,010 GWh (2000)

Electricity - imports: 8,030 GWh (2004), 6,740 GWh (2003), 7,870 GWh (2002), 7,250 GWh (2001), 4,720 GWh (2000)

Agriculture - products: maize, wheat, sugarcane, fruits, vegetables; beef, poultry, mutton, wool, dairy products

Exports - commodities: gold, diamonds, other metals and minerals, machinery and equipment

Imports - commodities: machinery, foodstuffs and equipment, chemicals, petroleum products, scientific instruments

Debt - external: $25.9 billion (2004 est.)

Foreign exchange reserves: $14.943 billion (Jan 2005), $6.5 billion (Oct 2003)

Exchange rates: Rand per USD (Avg Interbank rate - newest rate avg for months available)
6.03 (2005), 8.61 (2001), 4.61 (1997), 3.26 (1993)
6.46 (2004), 6.94 (2000), 4.30 (1996), 2.85 (1992)
7.57 (2003), 6.11 (1999), 3.63 (1995), 2.76 (1991)
10.5 (2002), 5.53 (1998), 3.55 (1994), 2.58 (1990)

Weakest Historical Level: $1 = R13.85 (21 December 2001)
Strongest Historical Level: R1 = $1.49 (5 June 1973)

Last updated: 10-29-2005 02:13:46